Economic Calendar

Latest Economic Update

January Jobs Report

February 7, 2025

Key Numbers

๐Ÿ‘ฅ Nonfarm Payrolls: +143,000 (Expected: 169,000)
๐Ÿ“Š Unemployment Rate: 4.0% (Previous: 4.1%)
๐Ÿ’ฐ Average Hourly Earnings: +0.5% MoM, +4.1% YoY
๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ Labor Force Participation: 62.6%
๐Ÿ“‹ Previous Month Revision: December revised up to 307,000

Sector Breakdown

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare: +44,000
๐Ÿ›๏ธ Retail: +34,000
๐Ÿ›๏ธ Government: +32,000
๐Ÿค Social Assistance: +22,000
โ›๏ธ Mining: -8,000

Quick Analysis

January’s job growth came in below expectations but was accompanied by strong upward revisions to previous months and robust wage growth. While the headline number of 143,000 missed estimates, the combined upward revisions for November and December totaled 100,000 jobs. Notably, wages rose more than expected, with average hourly earnings increasing 0.5% monthly and 4.1% annually, potentially raising concerns about persistent inflation pressures.

Market Implications

๐Ÿ“ˆ Markets: Showed limited reaction to the report
๐ŸŽฏ Fed Impact: May affect rate cut timing expectations

The stronger-than-expected wage growth and upward revisions to previous months might lead the Federal Reserve to maintain its cautious stance on rate cuts. Markets currently expect the Fed to hold rates steady until at least June.



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